Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen takes place on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at MHP Arena (Stuttgart); Sören Storks will referee. We back VfB Stuttgart (50%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Wins: Werder Bremen win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Werder Bremen lose by 1. Loses: Werder Bremen lose by 2 or more.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. VfB Stuttgart: 8th, 12 points from 9 matches (4W 0D 5L). Werder Bremen: 6th, 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: VfB Stuttgart 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded, Werder Bremen 2.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 3W 0D 5L, goals 14–15; Werder Bremen: 4W 3D 1L, goals 17–14.
- Head to head. Head to head over 27 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 10 wins, Werder Bremen 8 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 44–38.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.97), with a probability of 50% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 69% and over 2.5 goals is 70%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 27; VfB Stuttgart 10 wins, 9 draws, Werder Bremen 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: VfB Stuttgart 14–15, Werder Bremen 17–14.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 70%.
- Not available: VfB Stuttgart 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 50%, odds up to 2.00). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Not available for Werder Bremen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.95 | 4.45 | 3.70 |
| Market average | 1.89 | 4.18 | 3.56 |
| Lowest odds | 1.80 | 3.98 | 3.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.39 | 1.35 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.09 | 30.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.37 | 1.34 | 69.2% |
| BTTS – no | 3.10 | 3.02 | 30.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 7/11/26, 14:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.
Main facts
- Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Werder Bremen, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: VfB Stuttgart 8th (12 points), Werder Bremen 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 5L (14:15), Werder Bremen 4W 3D 1L (17:14).
- H2H: 27 matches: VfB Stuttgart 10W 9D 8L, goals 44–38.
- Absences: VfB Stuttgart 0, Werder Bremen 0.
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Score prediction
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: injuries, suspensions, absences
VfB Stuttgart
- No reported absences
Werder Bremen
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6-3-0 | 29:9 | 21 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6-3-0 | 16:7 | 21 | |
| 3 | 9 | 6-1-2 | 20:10 | 19 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6-0-3 | 27:13 | 18 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:17 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 17:15 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-1-4 | 17:18 | 13 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4-0-5 | 15:15 | 12 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4-0-5 | 16:17 | 12 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-3-3 | 15:20 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 4-0-5 | 10:20 | 12 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 18:19 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2-4-3 | 8:11 | 10 | |
| 14 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 20:20 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-3-4 | 10:14 | 9 | |
| 16 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 7:21 | 7 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-3-5 | 5:11 | 6 | |
| 18 | 9 | 1-1-7 | 12:25 | 4 |
Recent matches
VfB Stuttgart
Home and away
VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: last matches of both teams
VfB Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
Werder Bremen +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.86); Under 3.5 goals (1.97).
Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?
As we see it: VfB Stuttgart to win 50%, the draw 23%, Werder Bremen to win 27%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
7 November 2026, 17:30, at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Referee: Sören Storks.
Who will be missing?
VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Werder Bremen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 70% chance (odds 1.39), against 30% for under 2.5 (odds 3.25).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 69% (odds 1.37).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.1%), 1–1 (8.8%), 2–2 (6.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
Bet with Mino Casino →