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Bundesliga · Matchweek 9 · 7 November 2026 · 17:30

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Bundesliga

1VfB Stuttgart1.95
XDraw4.45
2Werder Bremen3.70

Top odds available · Updated 7/11/26, 14:04

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

VfB Stuttgart v Werder Bremen takes place on 7 November 2026 · 17:30 at MHP Arena (Stuttgart); Sören Storks will referee. We back VfB Stuttgart (50%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Werder Bremen +0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.86
Chance 54% · confidence medium

Wins: Werder Bremen win, a draw. Half lost (half the stake back): Werder Bremen lose by 1. Loses: Werder Bremen lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.97
Chance 50% · confidence medium
Combo
VfB Stuttgart & over 2.5 goals
2.60
39% · fair combo odds
2–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X) – probability 73%, odds up to 1.33.
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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. VfB Stuttgart: 8th, 12 points from 9 matches (4W 0D 5L). Werder Bremen: 6th, 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: VfB Stuttgart 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded, Werder Bremen 2.1 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. VfB Stuttgart: 3W 0D 5L, goals 14–15; Werder Bremen: 4W 3D 1L, goals 17–14.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 27 meetings: VfB Stuttgart 10 wins, Werder Bremen 8 wins, plus 9 draws; goals 44–38.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–2, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.97), with a probability of 50% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 69% and over 2.5 goals is 70%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 27; VfB Stuttgart 10 wins, 9 draws, Werder Bremen 8 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: VfB Stuttgart 14–15, Werder Bremen 17–14.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 70%.
  5. Not available: VfB Stuttgart 0, Werder Bremen 0.

Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

Other option: Over 3.5 goals (probability 50%, odds up to 2.00). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Not available for Werder Bremen: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.954.453.70
Market average1.894.183.56
Lowest odds1.803.983.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.121.0886.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.391.3569.5%
Under 2.5 goals3.253.0930.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.001.9349.8%
BTTS – yes1.371.3469.2%
BTTS – no3.103.0230.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 7/11/26, 14:04. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.0%.

All bookmakers →

Main facts

  • Likely result: VfB Stuttgart 2–1 Werder Bremen, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: VfB Stuttgart 8th (12 points), Werder Bremen 6th (15 points).
  • Form in the competition: VfB Stuttgart 3W 0D 5L (14:15), Werder Bremen 4W 3D 1L (17:14).
  • H2H: 27 matches: VfB Stuttgart 10W 9D 8L, goals 44–38.
  • Absences: VfB Stuttgart 0, Werder Bremen 0.

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

VfB Stuttgart50%
Draw23%
Werder Bremen27%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals86.6% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.12
Likely
VfB Stuttgart or draw (1X)73.2% · fair odds 1.37 · best 1.33
Likely
Over 2.5 goals69.5% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.39
Likely
Both teams score: yes69.2% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.37
Likely
VfB Stuttgart to win50.4% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.95
Possible
Under 3.5 goals50.2% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.97
Possible
Over 3.5 goals49.8% · fair odds 2.01 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both teams score: no30.8% · fair odds 3.25 · best 3.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals30.5% · fair odds 3.28 · best 3.25
Outsider
Werder Bremen to win26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.70
Outsider
Draw22.8% · fair odds 4.38 · best 4.45
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 1.88 · Under 1.87
probability of over 49.8%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 2.19 · Under 1.64
probability of over 42.8%

Score prediction

2 : 19.1%
1 : 18.8%
2 : 26.8%
1 : 26.6%
3 : 16.2%
2 : 06.0%

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: injuries, suspensions, absences

VfB Stuttgart

  • No reported absences

Werder Bremen

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Bayern München96-3-029:921
2Borussia Dortmund96-3-016:721
3SC Freiburg96-1-220:1019
4RB Leipzig96-0-327:1318
5Bayer Leverkusen95-1-320:1716
6Werder Bremen94-3-217:1515
7SV Elversberg94-1-417:1813
8VfB Stuttgart94-0-515:1512
91899 Hoffenheim94-0-516:1712
10Eintracht Frankfurt93-3-315:2012
11Hamburger SV94-0-510:2012
12FSV Mainz 0593-1-518:1910
13SC Paderborn 0792-4-38:1110
14FC Augsburg92-3-420:209
151. FC Köln92-3-410:149
16Union Berlin91-4-47:217
17FC Schalke 0491-3-55:116
18Borussia Mönchengladbach91-1-712:254

Recent matches

VfB Stuttgart

7 NovWVfB Stuttgart 1–0 Werder Bremen
3 NovLGalatasaray 2–0 VfB Stuttgart
31 OctWBayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
23 OctLVfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
20 OctDVfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid

Werder Bremen

7 NovLVfB Stuttgart 1–0 Werder Bremen
31 OctWWerder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
24 OctWFSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
17 OctDWerder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
9 OctDBorussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen

Home and away

VfB Stuttgart at home4 matches: 2W 0D 2L, goals 7–5
Werder Bremen away5 matches: 1W 2D 2L, goals 7–10

VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: last matches of both teams

VfB Stuttgart

L 3/11/26 · Galatasaray 2–0 VfB Stuttgart
W 31/10/26 · Bayer Leverkusen 2–4 VfB Stuttgart
L 23/10/26 · VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia Mönchengladbach
D 20/10/26 · VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Atlético Madrid

Werder Bremen

W 31/10/26 · Werder Bremen 2–0 1899 Hoffenheim
W 24/10/26 · FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen
D 17/10/26 · Werder Bremen 2–2 SC Paderborn 07
D 9/10/26 · Borussia Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen

Team comparison

VfB StuttgartWerder Bremen
35%Form65%
40%Attack60%
53%Defence47%
38%Head to head62%
56%Goals44%
45.3%Overall54.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

VfB StuttgartWWLLW
Werder BremenLWWDD

Head to head

All matches
10VfB Stuttgart
9Draws
8Werder Bremen
7/11/26 · VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Werder Bremen
26/4/26 · VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen
14/12/25 · Werder Bremen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart
13/4/25 · VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Werder Bremen
30/11/24 · Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
21/4/24 · Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.0%

Questions and answers

Which bet do we recommend for VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

Werder Bremen +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.86); Under 3.5 goals (1.97).

Who will win VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen?

As we see it: VfB Stuttgart to win 50%, the draw 23%, Werder Bremen to win 27%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 17:30, at MHP Arena, Stuttgart. Referee: Sören Storks.

Who will be missing?

VfB Stuttgart: no absences. Werder Bremen: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 70% chance (odds 1.39), against 30% for under 2.5 (odds 3.25).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 69% (odds 1.37).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.1%), 1–1 (8.8%), 2–2 (6.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln 20 NovBorussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund 21 NovBayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07 21 NovEintracht Frankfurt vs 1899 Hoffenheim 21 NovUnion Berlin vs RB Leipzig 21 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.